Tuesday, March 17, 2009

Here We Go!

And we are off and running with speculation galore! It is official, USCHO has their PairWise Predictor running found at http://www.uscho.com/rankings/pwp.php. It is a great speculation tool and one that can make you crazy looking at all the possibilities. You go ahead ans predict the outcome of the Conference tournaments however you like to see how the PairWise Rankings (PWR) change. USCHO's PWR mimics the NCAA's selection criteria extremely closely, so it is reliable.

What Has Been Determined? Based on a comment from a reader asking:

  1. If the Dogs win Thursday, are they a near lock for NCAA? and
  2. If the Dogs lose Thursday, will they fall and be out of the NCAA tourney?

My first response to each question was no. I then looked at the Predictor and found that if all the top seeds win with a tweak or two for 3rd place games, the Dogs cane make the NCAA's with a loss Thursday. Unfortunately, I also found that a win Thursday by UMD paired with losses Friday and Saturday could bump them out of the tournament. I know...how can it all make sense?!? That is the danger/fairness in letting the numbers and computers figure everything out.

I have just begun to delve into the world of the Predictor. I urge anyone who wants to add a comment regarding playoff implications and scenarios to jump in!

Stay tuned as the HighHorse staff continues to crunch numbers!

Go Dogs!

1 comment:

  1. I did a bunch of combinations on the predictor and found that two wins by UMD didn't garauntee a top 14 spot. I think the best answer for the Bulldogs is to keep winning and hope everything goes their way.